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Bulletin N°143

24 décembre 2007 - December 24, 2007

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PAUVRETE - POVERTY

. Un indicateur de mesure de la précarité et de la « santé sociale » : le score EPICES. L’expérience des Centres d’examens de santé de l’Assurance maladie
, E. Labbe et alii, Ires, Noisy-le-Grand, Revue de l'Ires, n° 53, 48 p., (2007).
Zone géographique / Geographical area : France

. Poverty and exclusion
, European Commission, Employment, Social Affairs and Equal Opportunities, Brussels, Special Eurobarometer,  n° 279, September, 201 p., (2007).
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Europe

. A proposal of a synthetic indicator to measure poverty intensity with an application to EU-15 countries,
J. Dominguez-Dominguez and J. J. Nunez-Velazquez, Ecineq, Palma de Mallorqua, Ecineq working paper, n° 2007-81, November, 29 p., (2007).

Résumé - Summary
:
This paper deals with the proposal of a synthetic indicator to measure intensity of poverty. So, whereas incidence of poverty can be clearly measured using the headcount ratio indicator, according to Sen (1976) dimensions of poverty, the choice of a better intensity poverty measure is still an open question to resolve. Thus, in this paper, a new procedure to obtain a synthetic indicator from a set of well-performed poverty intensity indices as a start is proposed, using an adaptation of Principal Component Analysis (PCA). Conditions needed to make longitudinal comparisons possible are studied and properties of these synthetic indicators will also be analyzed, connected to TIP curves as well. As an illustration, this paper analyzes the evolution of poverty in the 15 countries of E.U., whose household income data are available through the information contained in the European Community Household Panel (ECPH). This analysis allows static and dynamic comparisons, related to the period from 1993 to 2000. Furthermore, the determination of groups of countries according to their characteristics in poverty will be accomplished.
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Europe

. Proposition de
décision du parlement européen et du conseil relative à l’année européenne de lutte contre la pauvreté et l’exclusion sociale (2010), Commission européenne, Direction Emploi, Affaires sociales et Egalité des Chances, Bruxelles, Document de travail, 33 p., (2007).
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Europe

EMPLOI - EMPLOYMENT

. Age discrimination in Italy,
O. Rymkevitch and C. Villosio, Laboratorio Ricardo Revelli, Torino, Working paper, n° 67, November, 20 p., (2007).

Résumé - Summary : The Framework Directive on Equal Treatment in Employment and Occupation (2000/78/EC) included age as one of its prohibited grounds of discrimination. Member States were required to transpose this Directive by December 2003. In Italy age discrimination was explicitly regulated by means of Legislative Decree no. 216, 9 July 2003. The Decree introduced the new specific prohibition of discrimination, defining its application, exceptions and remedies. The purpose of this paper is to explore, in a contextual way, the implementation of the age aspects of the Framework Directive in Italy taking into account how age discrimination express itself in the Italian labour market.

Zone géographique / Geographical area : Italie / Italy


.
Les demandeurs d’emploi bénéficiaires du RMI, J. Bougard et D. Gréco, Observatoire de l’ANPE, Noisy-le-Grand, L’essentiel, n° 16, novembre, 8 p., (2007).
Zone géographique / Geographical area : France

.
L’emploi salarié au troisième trimestre 2007, J. Ponceau et J. Domens, Dares, Paris, Premières informations, décembre, n° 51.1, 4 p., (2007).
Zone géographique / Geographical area : France

. Entreprises ordinaires, entreprises solidaires ? L’implication des entreprises dans l’insertion des personnes éloignées de l’emploi, M. Angotti, Crédoc, Paris, Consommation et modes de vie, n° 207, novembre, 4 p., (2007).
Zone géographique / Geographical area : France

.
Evaluating the impact of the French tax credit on the employment rate of women, E. Stancanelli, OFCE, Paris, Document de travail, n° 2007-33, December, 33 p., (2007).

Résumé - Summary : This paper investigates the employment impact of a new tax-credit programme that was put in place in France in 2001. We study the introduction of both this measure and a later reform in 2004 that made the tax credit cashable in advance upon returning to work. We adopt a non-experimental evaluation method. The data for the analysis are drawn from the French Labour Force Surveys over the period 1999 to 2005. Due to the break in the French LFS series in 2003, we analyze separately the two periods 1999-2002 and 2003-05, as well as pooling the data over 1999-2005, under particular assumptions. We find evidence of a significantly negative employment effect for married women, with a reduction of about 3.2-3.4 percentage points in their employment rate after the introduction of the policy. The impact is positive and weakly significant for cohabiting women, while positive but statistically insignificant for lone mothers. We do not find any evidence of an additional effect of the tax credit due to the cashable advance credit reform of 2004.
Zone géographique / Geographical area : France

. La genèse des politiques de l'emploi en France : un référentiel d'adaptation
, F. Colomb, Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, Paris, Document de travail, n° 2007-71, 45 p., (2007).

Résumé :
L'enjeu de ce texte est de définir la catégorie émergente "politique de l'emploi" et de comprendre et d'en expliquer son processus de construction à partir d'une approche de sociologie compréhensive des politiques publiques. Nous proposons dans un premier temps de dater la genèse de la catégorie "politiques de l'emploi" en nous appuyant sur l'analyse de quatre types de discours. Dans un second temps, nous envisageons la compréhension et l'explication de cette émergence à partir de la régulation politique. Cette démarche nous permet à la fois de repérer l'émergence des politiques de l'emploi au milieu des années 1960 et définir les politiques de l'emploi comme des politiques de légitimation de l'abandon du plein emploi.


Summary : From a cognitive sociological approach, this paper's objective is to define the political category "politiques de l'emploi" and to explain the process of its social construction. The first part deals with the time of the emergence of the category. The second part analyzes the sense of this construction through political "régulation". Our provisional conclusion is that French employment policies appeared in the mid-sixties and can be defined as policies which legitimize the giving up of the full employment objective.
Zone géographique / Geographical area : France

. Flexicurité : un bilan intermédiaire,
J. Freyssinet, Lasaire, Saint-Etienne, Note Lasaire, novembre, 24 p., (2007)
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Europe, France

. Flexicurity  : An answer or a question ?
, L. Calmfors, SIEPS, Stockholm, European Policy Analysis, n° 6, November, 6 p., (2007).
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Europe
 


Education, emploi et formation / Education, training and employment 

. Education supérieure, rigidités de marché et croissance, P. Aghion et alii, Cepremap, Paris, Docweb,  n° 0705, 25 p., (2007).
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Pays de l'OCDE / OECD countries

. Educational effects of early or later secondary school tracking in Germany, A. Mühlenweg, Centre for European Economic Research, Mannheim, ZEW discussion paper, n° 07-079, 35 p., (2007).

Résumé - Summary
: This paper examines educational outcomes of pupils selected to secondary school types by different tracking regimes in a German state: Pupils are alternatively streamed after fourth grade or after sixth grade. Regression results indicate that, estimated on the mean, there are no negative effects of later tracking on educational outcomes in the middle of secondary school. Positive effects are observed for pupils with a less favorable family background. Quantile regressions reveal that the estimated effects of later tracking are positive for the lower quantiles but decrease monotonically over the conditional distribution of test scores.
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Allemagne / Germany

. Les élèves de 15 ans : Premiers résultats de l'évaluation internationale PISA 2006 en culture scientifique, G. Bourny et A. Brun, Ministère de l'Education nationale, Paris, Note d'information, n° 07-42, décembre, 6 p., (2007).
Zone géographique / Geographical area : France

. Employment and education policy for young people in the EU : What can new member states learn from member states, F. Pastore, Institute for the Study of Labor, Bonn, IZA discussion paper, n° 3209, December, 20 p., (2007).

Résumé - Summary : The EU experience with youth unemployment has changed over recent years with the launch and re-launch of the Lisbon Strategy and the Bologna process. A dramatic shift has taken place from the 1990s emphasis on labour market flexibility as a tool to abate youth long term unemployment to the more recent stress on the importance of increasing the human capital endowment via a deep reform of education and training systems. This shift is also taking place worldwide, since, as recent studies show, labour market flexibility can increase employability when the human capital level of young people is sufficiently high. To reduce the “experience gap” between young and adult people, the education systems should become of a higher quality, more inclusive to reduce the dropout rate, homogeneous to other EU countries to favour labour mobility, flexible to allow young people to better find the best match, and contemplate the duality principle, by providing training together with education, to favour smoother school-to-work transitions. Apprenticeships schemes, fiscal incentives to hire the youth unemployed as well as on-the-job training schemes should help reach objectives that cannot be guaranteed simply via an increase in labour market flexibility.
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Europe

. Interactions between employment and training policies,
F. Oskamp and D. J. Snower, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel, Kiel working paper, n°1389, December, 38 p., (2007).

Résumé - Summary : This paper examines the interactions between employment and training policies. Their effectiveness in stimulating income may be interdependent for various important reasons. For example, the more employment policies stimulate the employment rate, the greater the length of time over which workers use the human capital generated by training policies. Moreover, the greater the government expenditures on employment and training subsidies, the higher the taxes required to finance these expenditures and these higher taxes reduce aggregate income. On account of such effects, employment and training policies may be complementary or substitutable with respect to aggregate income. To analyze these interactions, we construct a simple, dynamic model of hiring decisions, derived from microfoundations. The model is calibrated with German data. Surprisingly, the simulation shows that, for reasonable parameter values, the complementarities are weak or absent. The analysis provides a methodology for examining policy interactions which may be useful well beyond the bounds of employment and training policies.
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Allemagne / Germany

. Moins de disparités hommes-femmes en termes de niveaux d'éducation, M. Beck-Domzalska, Eurostat, Luxembourg, Statistiques en Bref, n° 130/2007, 12 p., (2007).
English version "The narrowing education gap between women and men"
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Europe

. Primary and secondary education in the United States,
P. Tulip and G. Wurzburg, OECD, Paris, Economic department working paper, n° 585, December, 34 p., (2007).

Summary : The average educational attainment of US students is weak by international comparison. For example, mean results of PISA test scores are below the OECD average. This is despite substantial resources devoted to the schooling system. One partial explanation for this is that academic standards, curriculum and examinations are not sufficiently challenging in most US states. In 2001, Congress enacted the No Child Left Behind Act (NCLB) to raise achievement levels, especially of certain groups that perform badly. The Act requires states to establish clear content standards as to what students should know, to regularly assess performance and to set thresholds for adequate yearly progress; it also requires schools where students are failing to meet such thresholds to improve or close, while enhancing options for parents of children in such schools to place their children elsewhere. The law appears to be well conceived, addressing key problems in a sensible manner. Preliminary indications are consistent with it raising school performance and closing achievement gaps. The NCLB legislation should therefore be reauthorised. Moreover, the NCLB framework of standards, assessment and accountability should be extended through upper secondary education. That said, there are a number of areas in which improvements could be made. Though the federal government cannot set standards, it could strengthen incentives for more states to make their standards more challenging. As well, the federal government should help states and districts to better test student achievement and assess progress.

Résumé : Le niveau d'instruction moyen des élèves aux États-Unis est faible par rapport à ce qu'il est dans d'autres pays. Les résultats moyens au test du PISA, par exemple, sont inférieurs à la moyenne de l'OCDE en dépit des ressources considérables consacrées au système scolaire. Lune des explications possibles est que les États pour la plupart ne se montrent pas assez ambitieux, qu'il s'agisse du niveau d'acquis exigé, des programmes d'enseignement ou des examens. En 2001, le Congrès a voté la loi baptisée No Child Left Behind (NCLB) afin de relever le niveau des acquis, en particulier parmi certains groupes de population dont les performances laissent à désirer. Cette loi exige des États qu'ils définissent clairement les connaissances que les élèves doivent acquérir, qu'ils évaluent les performances à intervalles réguliers et qu'ils fixent de façon appropriée des objectifs de progression annuelle ; elle exige par ailleurs des établissements scolaires dont les élèves n'atteignent pas ces objectifs, qu'ils s'améliorent ou ferment, et  parallèlement elle donne aux parents dont les enfants fréquentent ces établissements plus de possibilités pour les scolariser ailleurs. Cette loi est, semble-t-il, bien conçue et traite raisonnablement des problèmes essentiels. D'après les premiers constats, elle a permis d'améliorer les performances des établissements scolaires et d'atténuer les écarts de résultats. Cette législation devrait donc être reconduite. De plus, ses dispositions concernant le niveau d'exigence, l'évaluation et l'obligation de rendre compte devraient être appliquées au deuxième cycle de l'enseignement secondaire. Cela dit, des améliorations pourraient être apportées dans un certain nombre de domaines. Sil est vrai que le gouvernement fédéral ne peut fixer de normes en la matière, il pourrait renforcer les mesures incitatives afin qu'un plus grand nombre d'États revoient à la hausse leur niveau d’exigence. De même, il pourrait aider les États et les districts scolaires à améliorer l'évaluation des acquis des élèves et des progrès accomplis.
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Etats-Unis  / United States

. Too bad to benefit ? Effect heterogeneity of public training programs,
U. Rinne, M. Schneider and A. Uhlendorff, DIW, Berlin, Discussion papers, n° 749, December, 45 p., (2007).

Résumé - Summary
: This study analyzes the treatment effects of public training programs for the unemployed in Germany. Based on propensity score matching methods we extend the picture that has been sketched in previous studies by estimating treatment effects of medium-term programs for different sub-groups with respect to vocational education and age. Our results indicate that program participation has a positive impact on employment probabilities for all sub-groups. Participants also seem to find more often higher paid jobs than non-participants. However, we find only little evidence for the presence of heterogeneous treatment effects, and the magnitude of the differences is quite  small. Our results are thus at least in part|conflicting with the strategy to increasingly provide training to individuals with better employment prospects.
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Allemagne / Germany

. Training the unemployed in France : How does it affect unemployment duration and recurrence,
B. Crépon, M. Ferracci and D. Fougère, Institute for the Study of Labor, Bonn, IZA discussion paper, n° 3215, December, 43 p., (2007).

Résumé - Summary : Econometric evaluations of public-sponsored training programmes generally find little evidence of an impact of such policies on transition rates out of unemployment. We perform the first evaluation of training effects for the unemployed adults in France, exploiting a unique longitudinal dataset from the unemployment insurance system. Using the so-called timing-of events methodology to control for both observed and unobserved heterogeneity, we find that training does not accelerate the exit from unemployment, but has a significant and positive effect on the duration of the subsequent employment spell. Accounting for training duration, we find that longer training spells cause longer unemployment spells, but also longer employment spells, suggesting that training improves the matching process between jobseekers and firms.
Zone géographique / Geographical area : France


REVENU - INCOME

. Dynamics of economic well-being : Fluctuations in the US income distribution, 2001-2003,
J. J. Hisnanick and K. G. Giefer, Census Bureau, Washington, Current population reports, p 70-112, November, 24 p., (2007).
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Etats-Unis  / United States

. Income and wealth concentration in Spain in a historical and fiscal perspective, F. Alvaredo and E. Saez, Paris-Jourdan Sciences économiques, Paris, Document de travail, n° 39, 91 p., (2007).

Résumé - Summary : This paper presents series on top shares of income and wealth in Spain over the 20th century using personal income and wealth tax return statistics. Top income shares are highest in the 1930s, fall sharply during the first two decades of the Franco dictatorship, and have increased slightly since the 1960s, and especially since the mid-1990s. The top 0.01% income share in Spain estimated from income tax data is comparable to estimates for the United States and France over the period 1933-1971. Those findings, along with a careful analysis of all published tax statistics, suggest that income tax evasion and avoidance among top income earners in Spain before 1980 was much less prevalent than previously thought. Wealth concentration has been about stable from 1982 to 2004 as surging real estate prices have benefited the middle class and compensated for a slight increase in financial wealth concentration in the 1990s. We use our wealth series and a simple conceptual model to analyse the effects of the wealth tax exemption of stocks for owners managers introduced in 1994. We show that the reform induced substantial shifting from the taxable to tax exempt status. This shifting has eroded the wealth tax base substantially and hence the tax exemption has generated large efficiency costs.
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Espagne / Spain

. Income inequality hits record levels, new CBO data show, A. Sherman, Center on Budget and Policy priorities, Washington, December, 4 p., (2007).
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Etats-Unis  / United States

AUTRES DONNEES SOCIALES - OTHER SOCIAL ISSUES

.
Après le Japon, la France… Faire du vieillissement un moteur de croissance, R. Geiss, Institut Montaigne, Paris, Note, décembre, 100 p. (2007).
Zone géographique / Geographical area : France, Japon / France, Japan

. Le financement de la protection sociale, A. Duthilleul, Conseil économique et Social, Paris, Projet d'avis, décembre, 55 p., (2007).
Zone géographique / Geographical area : France

. Le nombre d’allocataires du RMI au 30 septembre 2007, M. Hennion, E. Nauze-Fichet et S. Cazain, Drees, Paris, Études et résultats, n° 613, décembre, 4 p., (2007).
Zone géographique / Geographical area : France

. Santé, vieillissement et retraite en Europe, Insee, Paris, Economie et statistique, n° 403-404, décembre, (2007).
Zone géographique / Geographical area : France, Europe