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Bulletin N°151

14 avril 2008 - April 14, 2008

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PAUVRETE - POVERTY

. Contribution à l'analyse de la pauvreté non-monétaire micro-multidimensionnelle au Mali
, Y. Koloma, Groupe d’Economie du Développement, Bordeaux, Document de travail,  n° 142, 24 p., (2008)
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Mali / Malia

. The impact of benefit and tax uprating on incomes and poverty,
H. Sutherland and alii, Joseph Rowntree Foundation, London, 126 p., (2008).
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Royaume-Uni / United Kingdom

. Μπορεί να μηδενιστεί η φτώχεια,
Π. Πασιαρδής, ΚΟΕ, Λευκωσία, Σχόλιο οικονομικής πολιτικής, Τεύχος 16, Μάρτιος, σ. 4, (2008).
(Abolition de la pauvreté à Chypre)
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Chypre / Cyprus

. Welfare states, labour market institutions and the working poor : A comparative analysis of 20 European countries,
 H. Lohmann, DIW, Berlin, Discussion papers, n° 776, March, 38 p., (2008)

Résumé - Summary
: This paper regards the incidence of in-work poverty and how it is reduced by the pay-ment of social transfers in 20 European countries. It combines a micro- and a macro-level perspective in two-level models. The basis for the analysis is micro-data from the EU Statistics on Income and Living Conditions (EU-SILC) 2005 and macro-data from sources such as the OECD and Eurostat. The broad comparative perspective allows for a separation of different institutional influences, namely the influence of the degree of decommodification, defamilisation and bargaining centralisation. In contrast to previous studies on the working poor which have mainly described country differences in in-work poverty, this paper focuses on the question of how such differences can be ex-plained from a broader perspective of poverty research. In general, the results confirm the overall hypothesis that both welfare state measures and labour market institutions have an influence on in-work poverty. By analysing influences on pre-transfer poverty and poverty reduction separately, I show that such factors have varied effects on in-work poverty. While bargaining centralisation proves to be relevant for the distribution of pre-transfer incomes only, the set-up of the social security system in particular im-pacts the extent of poverty reduction.
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Europe

. Les familles pauvres sont-elles plus mal traitées en France ? Une comparaison des revenus minima garantis dans douze pays européens, A. Math, Ires, Noisy-le-Grand, Revue, n° 54, 30 p., (2007).
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Europe

EMPLOI - EMPLOYMENT

. Disconnected youth : Federal action could address some of the challenges faced by local programs that reconnect youth to education and employment,
US Government Accountability Office, Washington, February, 64 p., (2008).
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Etats-Unis / United States

. A new employability paradigm : cross-cutting measures of retrenchment / restructuring of European employment policies,
A. S. List-Jensen, Centre for Comparative Welfare Studies, Aalborg, CCWS working paper, n° 2008-58, 37 p., (2008).

Résumé - Summary : This article investigates the convergence of European labour markets in terms of the adoption of stricter conditionality policies to boost employment. A most different country design is used to test this hypothesis of convergence by showing that the various countries are engaged in promoting more market-conforming employability schemes. The country cases represent three different welfare regimes and include: Denmark, Germany, and the United  Kingdom. However, though the study expects convergence, it is recognized that the changes are introduced in different “policy packages” that both include “soft” and “harsher” measures. Convergence might be explained with functional necessity or similar cause-effects beliefs within a new economic paradigm, but the article highlights the political logic of this process. The study argues that the variation in the implemented policy packages can be given a political explanation. The main political “room of manoeuvring” is created by combining issue-areas into various policy packages.
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Europe

.
Sortir du chômage en Île-de-France : disparités territoriales, spatial mismatch et ségrégation résidentielle, E. Duguet, Y. L’horty et F. Sari, Centre d’études de l’emploi, Noisy-le-Grand, Document de travail, n° 97.1, avril, 46 p., (2008).

Résumé - Summary : L’objet de cette étude est d’expliquer les disparités intercommunales des chances de sortir du chômage dans la région Île-de-France. Partant du fichier historique statistique de l’ANPE, on estime des modèles de durée de chômage qui permettent d’évaluer les chances de sortir du chômage dans chaque commune de la région. On analyse dans un premier temps les disparités spatiales des sorties « brutes » du chômage en Île-de-France, telles qu’elles ressortent des statistiques non retravaillées et dans un deuxième temps les disparités nettes, en raisonnant toutes choses égales par ailleurs, comme si chaque localité avait la même structure par âge, sexe et qualification que celle de la région. On constate globalement que les disparités locales sont très fortes d’une commune à l’autre, quel que soit l’indicateur que l’on retient pour estimer ces disparités. La durée locale du chômage dessine une courbe en U en fonction de la distance au centre de Paris. Les écarts d’une localité à l’autre restent globalement très élevés lorsque l’on neutralise les différences de structure par âge, sexe et qualification ce qui confirme l’existence d’un effet spécifique du territoire. Nous testons la pertinence des arguments théoriques développés dans le cadre de l’économie spatiale pour expliquer les écarts de taux de sortie du chômage. Il apparaît que les demandeurs d’emplois franciliens souffrent davantage d’effets de ségrégation que de problèmes de distance physique à l’emploi, sauf pour les communes les plus en marge de la région.

. Documents de travail,  n° 97-2 à 97-22

Sortir du chômage en Alsace, en Aquitaine, en Auvergne, en Basse-Normandie, en Bourgogne, en Bretagne, dans la région Centre, en Champagne-Ardenne, en Corse, en Franche-Comté, en Haute-Normandie, en Languedoc-Roussillon, en Limousin, en Lorraine, en Midi-Pyrénées, dans le Nord-Pas-de-Calais, en Provence-Alpes-Côte d’Azur, dans les Pays de la Loire, en Picardie, en Poitou-Charentes, en Rhône-Alpes

Ces études évaluent les disparités intercommunales des chances de sortir du chômage. C'est une recherche dont l’objet est de mesurer les disparités territoriales des sorties du chômage à un niveau géographique très fin, celui de la commune ou du code postal
Zone géographique / Geographical area : France

. Tax-free income vs. in-work tax credits : Effects on labour market participation, P. Pashardes and A. Polycardou, Economics Research Centre, Nicosia, Economic analysis papers, n° 01-08, March, 19 p., (2008).

Résumé - Summary : The purpose of this paper is to investigate the effect of two alternative tax policies, high tax-free income and in-work tax credits, on labour market participation rate. In particular, we study the extent to which a generous tax-free labour income can be more effective for raising employment than in-work benefits. For this, we use Cyprus data to estimate the labour market participation decisions of individuals and a tax-benefit model to simulate two revenue equivalent tax regimes: a system with in-work tax credits and low tax-free income; and a system without in-work tax credits but a high tax-free income. We also compute and compare the labour market participation rates among groups with policy interest, such as older workers and women, under the two regimes.
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Chypre / Cyprus

REVENU - INCOME

. Labor supply modeling in Italy when a minimum income scheme is an option, E. Narazani and I. Shima, Centre for Household, Income, Labour and Demographic economics, Torino, Working paper, n° 2, 27 p., (2008).

Résumé - Summary :
In this paper we analyze the effects of Minimum Guaranteed Income (MGI) schemes on labor supply by applying a behavioral micro-simulation tax-benefit model. The database used in this study is composed of Italian households during the year 1998, extracted from Bank of Italy’s SHIW1998. The Tax-Benefit Model applied is the static micro-simulation model of EUROMOD. A household labor supply model is simulated with different tax rules where MGI is an option. The simulated tax regimes are Negative Income Tax (NIT), Workfare Tax (WF) and Universal Basic Income (UBI). These exercises of behavioral micro simulation tax-benefit are performed at national and regional level. Our main finding is that changes in labor supply due to these tax-transfer rules are small and this is in favor of such income support policies. Concerning tax-transfer rules without hours constraint, such as UBI and NIT, they imply labor disincentives more in the South than in the North of the country, and the effect is amplified with the increase of generosity level. Considering the welfare effects of these taxtransfer rules, we find that there are more “winners” than “losers” in the south than in the north as there are more households participating in these MGI schemes due to their low income status.
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Italie / Italy

. New data show income concentration rose again in 2006,
A. Aron-Dine, Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, Washington, March, 3 p., Updated series, (2008).
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Etats-Unis / United States

. Public sector pay gap in France : New evidence using panel data,
O. Bargain and B. Melly, Institute for the Study of Labor, Bonn, IZA discussion paper, n°3427, April, 20 p., (2008).

Résumé - Summary : We estimate the public wage gap in France for the period 1990-2002, both at the mean and at different quantiles of the wage distribution, for men and women separately. We account for unobserved heterogeneity by using fixed effects estimations on panel data and, departing from usual practice, allow the public wage markup to vary over time. We also provide one of the very first applications of fixed effects quantile regressions. Contrary to common belief, results convey that monetary returns are not fundamentally different in the public sector. Firstly, public wage ‘premia’ (for women) or ‘penalties’ (for men) are essentially the result of selection. After controlling for unobserved heterogeneity, only small pay differences between sectors remain over time, reflecting fluctuations due to specific public policies and to the pro-cyclicality of private sector wages. The long-term difference is essentially zero. Secondly, the relative compression of the wage distribution by the public sector is also partly due to unobserved characteristics. The most natural explanation for these results is that the civil sector manages to attract better workers in the lower part of the distribution, in part because of non-monetary gains (including job protection), but fails to retain the most productive ones at the top.
Zone géographique / Geographical area : France

. Pulling apart : A State-by-state analysis of income trends,
J. Bernstein, E. McNichol and A. Nicholas, Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, Washington, 74 p., (2008)
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Etats-Unis / United States

. Striking it richer  : the evolution of top incomes in the United States (Update using 2006 preliminary estimates),
E. Saez, University of California, Department of Economics, Berkeley, March, 9 p.,
Updated series, (2008).
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Etats-Unis / United States

. Top incomes and earnings in Portugal 1936-2004,
F. Alvaredo, Paris-Jourdan-Sciences économiques, Paris, Working paper, n° 2008-17, 66 p., (2008).

Résumé - Summary : This paper analyzes income and earnings concentration in Portugal from a longrun perspective using personal income and wage tax statistics. Our results suggest that income concentration was much higher during the 1930s and early 1940s than it is today. Top income shares estimated from reported incomes deteriorated during the Second World War, even if Portugal did not take active participation in the conflict. However, the magnitude of the drop was less important than in other European countries. The level of concentration between 1950 and 1970 remained relatively high compared to countries such as Spain, France, UK or the United States. The decrease in income concentration, started very moderately at the end of the 1960s and which accelerated after the revolution of 1974, began to be reversed during the first half of the 1980s. During the last fifteen years top income shares have increased steadily. The rise in wage concentration contributed to this process in a significant way. The evidence since 1989 suggests that the level of marginal tax rate at the top has not been the primary determinant of the level of top reported incomes. Marginal rates have stayed constant in a context of growing top shares.
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Portugal

AUTRES DONNEES SOCIALES - OTHER SOCIAL ISSUES

. Les difficultés de logement des bénéficiaires de minima sociaux
, D. Nivière, M. Marpsat et É. Renard, Drees, Paris, Études et résultats, n° 630, mars, 4 p., (2008).

Résumé - Summary : Un quart des bénéficiaires du revenu minimum d’insertion (RMI), de l’allocation de parent isolé (API) ou de l’allocation de solidarité spécifique (ASS) ne disposent pas de leur propre logement : ils sont hébergés par des proches ou occupent un logement prêté, vivent en hôtel, dans une habitation mobile, ou sont sans domicile. Le logement social joue un rôle primordial pour les autres : la moitié d’entre eux y résident à la mi-2006. Parmi ceux qui vivent dans un logement autonome, près de la moitié ne disposent pas de tout le confort sanitaire de base, ou occupent un logement surpeuplé, ou jugent leur chauffage insuffisant ou leur logement en mauvais état. Plus de la moitié de ceux qui doivent payer un loyer ou rembourser un emprunt rencontrent des difficultés à le faire. Une proportion croissante d’allocataires juge ces difficultés insurmontables. La mobilité résidentielle est importante puisqu’un quart des bénéficiaires d’un des trois minima sociaux sont arrivés dans leur logement il y a moins de deux ans. Dans plus d’un tiers des cas, ce déménagement a été contraint.

Zone géographique / Geographical area : France

. Education and training for TANF recipients : Opportunities and challenges under the final rule,
E. Lower-Basch, Centre for Law and Social Policy, Washington, March, 9 p., (2008).
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Etats-Unis / United States

. The emerging aversion to inequality. Evidence from Poland 1992-2005
, I. Grosfeld and C. Senik
Paris-Jourdan Sciences économiques, Paris, Document, n° 2008-19, April, 38 p., (2008).
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Pologne / Poland

. In the beginning there was social policy : Developments in social policy in the European Union from 1972 through 2008, J. T. Addison, The Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, Rimini, WP 08-08, 28 p., (2008).

Résumé - Summary
: This paper argues that the evolution of social policy – vulgo: labor market mandates – in the European Union seems to follow a set path. Intervals of activism have been followed by challenges and checks to its development, but Treaty innovations (inter al.) have provided the impetus for further activism. The classic and first case in point was the Single European Act (1976), which presaged a new bout of legislation by widening the reach of qualified majority voting. The next was Maastricht, or the Treaty on European Union (1991) and the Agreement on Social Policy, which for the first time established a firm basis for social policy. An intermediate but instructive step was passage of the Treaty of Amsterdam (1997) which formally incorporated the latter into the main body of the treaty rather than leaving it as a Protocol appended to the treaty, The most recent instance is the Treaty Establishing a Constitution for Europe, which was to morph into the Reform (or Lisbon) Treaty of December 2007. This agreement portends more fundamental reforms for two reasons. First, it implies new legislation in the area of labor relations (issues such as pay determination, the rights to strike/lockout, and the right of association) previously expressly excluded from social policy. Second, it will test some member states applying European law, which means that theoretical opt outs may be just that. And, if history is any guide, there will be subsequent consolidation to bring the labor standards set under legislation into line with European Court of Justice decisions and a further ratchetingup of standards.
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Europe

. Où en est la convergence des économies de la zone euro ?,
C. De Lucia, BNP Paribas, Paris, Conjoncture, mars, 21 p., (2008).
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Europe

. Panorama de l’accès aux soins de ville des bénéficiaires de la CMU complémentaire en 2006,  B. Boisguerin et S. Pichetti, Drees, Paris, Études et résultats, n° 629, mars, 4 p., (2008).

Résumé - Summary : Les débats relatifs aux difficultés d’accès aux soins d’une partie des bénéficiaires de la CMU complémentaire, qui se sont noués en 2007, ont conduit la DREES à engager, en collaboration avec la CNAMTS et l’IRDES, une étude sur les conditions d’accueil de ces assurés sociaux par différentes catégories de professionnels de santé. Cette étude a privilégié une approche géographique fine par zone d’emploi qui permet de neutraliser l’inégale répartition des bénéficiaires de la CMU sur le territoire. Les médecins généralistes accueillent une part plus élevée de personnes couvertes par la CMU que les spécialistes ou les dentistes. Les disparités d’accueil entre professionnels font également apparaître que les généralistes et les dentistes les plus accueillants reçoivent trois fois plus de patients affiliés à la CMU que leurs confrères.  Plus généralement, les professionnels inscrits en secteur I accueillent une part plus importante de bénéficiaires de la CMU que ceux inscrits en secteur II avec dépassement d’honoraires. Enfin, l’accueil des bénéficiaires de la CMU se concentre d’autant plus sur une fraction des généralistes que la densité médicale et le nombre d’affiliés à la CMU sont importants.
Zone géographique / Geographical area : France

. Promoting achievement, valuing success : a strategy for 14-19 qualifications,
Department for Children, Schools and Families, London, March, 51 p., (2008).
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Royaume-Uni / United Kingdom

. La riforma del welfare. Dieci anni dopo la «Commissione Onofri». La politica sociale per la casa : una comprensibile sottovalutazione
, M. Baldini, CAPP, Centro di Analisi delle Politiche Pubbliche, Modena, 8 p., (2008).
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Italie / Italy