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Bulletin N°166

17 novembre 2008 - November 17, 2008

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PAUVRETE - POVERTY

. Addressing in-work poverty,
R. Kenway, Joseph Rowntree Foundation, London, November, 31 p., (2008).
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Royaume-Uni / United Kingdom

. Ending child poverty : "Thinking 2020",
G. Cooke and alii, Department for Work and Pensions, London, Working paper, n° 56, October, 78 p., (2008).
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Royaume-Uni / United Kingdom

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Familles, enfance et pauvreté. Statistiques d’accueil 2007, Secours catholique, Paris, 36 p., (2008).
Zone géographique / Geographical area : France

. Modelling poverty transitions in Spain : Do attrition and initial conditions really matter ?,
S. Ayllon, CEPS / INSTEAD, Luxembourg, IRISS working paper, n° 2008-08, October, 36 p., (2008).

Résumé - Summary : The availability of panel data has allowed a comprehensive description of poverty exits and entries in Spain. However, most of the literature, so far, has ignored or not explicitly modelled the process of sample attrition and / or the initial conditions problem we face when studying poverty dynamics with survey data. The main objective of this work is to assess whether attrition and poverty status in the base year are endogenous processes to poverty transitions through unobserved heterogeneity. Our estimation follows the model recently proposed by Cappellari and Jenkins (2004a) and uses Maximum Likelihood Simulation techniques. Data is from the European Community Household Panel and refers to poverty transitions that take place between 1994 and 2000 in Spain. Results show that unobservables affecting initial conditions and sample retention are exogenous to those related with poverty transience. Yet, results prove to be sensitive to the choice of the poverty line.
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Espagne / Spain

. La povertà relativa in Italia nel 2007,  Istat, Roma, novembre, 10 p., (2008).
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Italie / Italy

. Poverty policy, S. Torjman, Caledon Institute of Social Policy, Ottawa, October, 36 p., (2008).
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Canada

. Rethinking the safety net : gaps and instability in help for the working poor,
S. W. Allard, Institute for Research on Poverty, Madison, Focus, vol. 26, n° 1, Summer-Fall, 6 p., (2008).
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Etats-Unis / United States

EMPLOI - EMPLOYMENT

. Do Austrian men and women become more equal ? At least in terms of labor supply !,
G. Wernhart and R. Winter-Ebmer, Austrian Institute for Family Studies, Vienna, Working paper, n° 71, October, 18 p., (2008).

Résumé - Summary : We study the development of wage elasticity of labor supply for Austrian men and women over time using comparable and representative survey data for the 1980s and 1990s. The elasticity of men is relatively low and constant over time, similar to the behavior of single women. Most remarkable is the almost continuous reduction in the labor supply reactions of married women: while their elasticity was still several times larger at the beginning of the 1980s, they approached rapidly the much less elastic behaviour of men. These developments are important for the analysis of deadweight losses of taxation as well as the effects of tax reforms and wage subsidy programs
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Autriche / Austria

. Les effets de la parenté sur l'emploi, L. Maron et D. Meulders, Dulbea, Bruxelles, Document de travail, n° 28-21.RS, octobre, 49 p., (2008).

Résumé :
Ce papier a pour objectif d'analyser l'impact de la présence de jeunes enfants sur l'emploi des parents et leur implication en termes d'heures de travail et de continuité dans l'emploi dans 24 pays européens. Les résultats montrent que la maternité a un effet négatif important sur l'emploi des femmes en termes de temps partiel et d'inactivité dans une série de pays. En ce qui concerne les pères, les résultats sont indéterminés et diffèrent sensiblement d'un pays à un autre. En général, la paternité augmente la probabilité d'emploi mais n'a pas d'effet significatif sur le nombre d'heures de travail.

 Summary :
In this paper, we study the impact of the presence of young children on parents' labour market participation and employment patterns and their implication in terms of working hours and employment continuity in 24 European countries. The results show that motherhood has an important and negative impact on female labour market participation both in terms of part-time and inactivity in some countries. The fatherhood effect is not clear and very different through countries. In general, paternity increases the employment's probability but has no significant effect on the number of working hours
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Europe

. Employment gender gap in the EU is narrowing : labour market trends 2000-2007,
F. Ramb, Eurostat, Luxembourg, Statistics in focus, population and social conditions, n° 99/2008, 8 p., (2008).
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Europe

. Femmes au travail : Les voies de l'égalité,
Fondation européenne pour l'Amélioration des Conditions de Vie et de Travail, Dublin, note d'information, novembre, 13 p., (2008).
English version
: "Women at work : paths to equality"
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Europe

. Job quality in Europe,
J. Leschke and A. Watt, European Trade Union Institute, Brussels, Working paper, n° 2008-7, 42 p., (2008).
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Europe

REVENU - INCOME

. Does inequality rise from above or from below ? Understanding income skewness trends in 16 OECD countries : 1985-2005,
H. Scholtz, Luxembourg Income Study, Luxembourg, LIS working paper, n° 504, October, 22 p., (2008).

Résumé - Summary :
Advanced industrial democracies experience increasing inequalities or at least a new trade-off between equality and growth: liberal welfare states opted for growth and accepted rising inequality, while conservative welfare states tried to hold back inequality, thereby accepting lower growth, and only the social democratic welfare states were partly able to overcome that trade-off. The rise in inequality is widely interpreted with regard to globalization and technological change. This paper contrasts this interpretation with an alternative based on the argumentation of Kuznets’ inverted U-turn which is individually reformulated as the diffusion process of some qualification (which remains unspecified throughout this paper). These two alternative mechanisms which are identical with regard to inequality measured using the Gini coefficient or the standard deviation of logged incomes, can be differentiated through different trend expectations with regard to the skewness of income distributions: In the globalization model, increasing inequality is accompanied first by a fall and later-on by a rise in skewness, while the qualification diffusion model shows the opposite sequence: rising to a maximum and falling back later on. Due to their different position in the inequality-growth trade-off, liberal and social democratic welfare states are assumed to be ahead in this evolution, while conservative welfare states lagging behind. Based on the Luxembourg Income Study, skewness estimations of logged monetary income distributions form an unbalanced panel with 69 observations from 16 OECD countries. A fixedeffects regression for the skewness time trend in conservative welfare states and the trend difference for the two other welfare state groups shows strong support for the qualification diffusion model.
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Pays de l'OCDE / OECD countries

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Les écarts de salaire entre les hommes et les femmes en 2006 : des disparités persistantes, L. Muller, Dares, Paris, Premières synthèses, n° 44.5, octobre, 12 p., (2008).
Zone géographique / Geographical area : France
 
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The effects of labor market conditions on working time: the US-EU experience, C. Michelacci and J. Pijoan-Mas, The Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, Rimini, Working paper, n° 08-28, 51 p., (2008).
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Etats-Unis, Europe / United States, Europe

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The effects of a minimum wage increase in a model with multiple unemployment equilibria, J. Beugnot, Lameta, Montpellier,  Document de recherches, n° 2008-16, 22 p., (2008).
Zone géographique / Geographical area : none

. The gender earnings gap inside a Russian firm : First evidence from personel data, 1997 to 2002,
T. Dohmen, H. Lehmann and A. Zaiceva,
Università degli Studi di Brescia, Facoltà di Economia, Brescia, XXIII Convegno Nazionale di Economia del Lavoro, 11-12 settembre, 44 p., (2008).
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Russie / Russia

. Job mobility and the gender wage gap in Italy,
E. del Bono and D. Vuri,  CESifo, Munich, CESifo working paper, n° 2435, October, 44 p., (2008).

Résumé - Summary : This paper investigates the way in which job mobility contributes to the emergence of a gender wage gap in the Italian labour market. We show that men experience higher wage growth than women during the first 10 years of their career, and that this difference is particularly large when workers move across firms. This gender mobility penalty is robust to the inclusion of individual, job and firm characteristics, to different ways of accounting for individual unobserved heterogeneity, and is mainly found for voluntary job moves. Exploring the wage growth of job movers, we find that a significant gender wage penalty emerges when workers move to larger firms. This might be explained by the fact that bigger establishments offer jobs more highly valued by women than men or that the relationship between job satisfaction and firm size is less negative for women than men. Using data on job satisfaction, we find evidence for the latter hypothesis as well as some indication that wages and fringe benefits compensate for lower levels of job satisfaction in larger firms, but that this is so only for men.
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Italie / Italy

. Minimum wage incidence : The case of Germany,
A. Knabe and R. Schöb, CESifo, Munich, CESifo working paper, n° 2432, October, 41 p., (2008).

Résumé - Summary : Using data from the 2006 wave of the German Socio-Economic Panel (GSOEP), this paper analyzes how a minimum wage affects employment, wage inequality, public expenditures, and aggregate income in the low-wage sector. It is shown that a statutory minimum wage of EUR 7.50 per hour would cost 840,000 low-paid jobs and increases the fiscal burden by about EUR 4 billion per year, while household income rises only by EUR 1.1 billion per year. Poor households, i.e. those eligible for Unemployment Benefits II, do not benefit from a minimum wage at all. Comparing the effects of a minimum wage with different types of wage subsidies that require the same additional public expenditures, the government can ensure more favorable employment – depending on the subsidies’ incidence – and income effects. Wage subsidies also allow a more equal income distribution than statutory minimum wages. Combining a minimum wage with a wage subsidy, similar to the French minimum wage system, is extremely costly while such a policy is inferior to wage subsidies in all respects.
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Allemagne / Germany

. A note on between-groups inequality with an application to genders, M. Monti and A. Santoro, Econpubblica, Centre for Research on the Public Sector, Milan, Working paper, n° 135, October, 24 p., (2008).

Résumé - Summary : Existing methods of between-groups income inequality measurement are rather uninformative if applied to genders since they are not sensitive to discrimination. We introduce a Gini-based measure of between-genders inequality which explicitly depends upon discrimination and we apply it to measure the impact of a gender-based tax reform in Italy.
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Italie / Italy

. Rapport technique du secrétariat sur les marges disponibles pour l'évolution du coût salarial,
Conseil Central de l'Economie, Bruxelles, Rapport, novembre, 207 p., (2008)
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Belgique / Belgium

. Rational expectations and the puzzling no-effect of the minimum wage,
S. Pinoli, MPRA, Munich, October, 51 p., (2008).

Résumé - Summary : This paper argues that expectations are an important element that need to be included into the analysis of the effects of the minimum wage on employment. We show in a standard matching model that these effects are higher the lower is the likelihood associated to the minimum wage variation. This property also helps explaining the controversial results found in the empirical literature. When the policy is anticipated, the observed effect at the time of the actual variation is small and hard to identify. The model is tested on Spanish data, taking advantage of the unexpected change in the minimum wage following the election of Zapatero in 2004.
Zone géographique / Geographical area :  Espagne / Spain

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La redistribution en 2007 et la réforme de l’impôt sur le revenu et de la prime pour l’emploi in France : portrait social, É. Amar et alii, Insee, 14 p., (2008).
Zone géographique / Geographical area : France

AUTRES DONNEES SOCIALES - OTHER SOCIAL ISSUES

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La répartition des prélèvements obligatoires entre les générations et la question de l’équité intergénérationnelle, Conseil des prélèvements obligatoires, La Documentation française, Paris, Rapport, novembre, 451 p., (2008).
Zone géographique / Geographical area : France

. Tax-benefit revealed social preferences,
F. Bourguignon and A. Spadaro, Euromod, Colchester, Euromod working paper, n° EM9/08, October, 46 p., (2008).

Résumé - Summary : This paper inverts the usual logic of applied optimal income taxation. It starts from the observed distribution of income before and after redistribution and corresponding marginal tax rates. Under a set of simplifying assumptions, it is then possible to recover the social welfare function that would make the observed marginal tax rate schedule optimal. In this framework, the issue of the optimality of an existing tax-benefit system is transformed into the issue of the shape of the social welfare function associated with that system and whether it satisfies elementary properties. This method is applied to the French redistribution system with the interesting implication that the French redistribution authority may appear, under some plausible scenario concerning the size of the labor supply behavioral reactions, non Paretian (e.g. giving negative marginal social weights to the richest class of tax payers).
Zone géographique / Geographical area : Europe